Description

This analysis provides a forecast of COTI prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.028440 0.033117 0.038268 0.044355 0.051343 0.059108 0.068381
2025-10-05 0.022441 0.028786 0.036416 0.046236 0.058507 0.073299 0.092444
2025-10-12 0.018138 0.025317 0.034634 0.047538 0.064866 0.087236 0.118199
2025-10-19 0.014164 0.021341 0.031317 0.046071 0.067185 0.096135 0.138614
2025-10-26 0.011545 0.018636 0.029117 0.045546 0.070419 0.106365 0.161860
2025-11-02 0.009358 0.016103 0.026654 0.044102 0.071904 0.114045 0.182146
2025-11-09 0.007744 0.014140 0.024684 0.042999 0.073575 0.121965 0.203456
2025-11-16 0.006656 0.012836 0.023527 0.042948 0.076774 0.132436 0.229706
2025-11-23 0.005604 0.011395 0.021888 0.041787 0.077873 0.139489 0.250992
2025-11-30 0.005154 0.010986 0.021994 0.043674 0.084405 0.156229 0.290210
2025-12-07 0.004543 0.010148 0.021169 0.043703 0.087540 0.167325 0.320636
2025-12-14 0.003876 0.009076 0.019725 0.042324 0.087827 0.173262 0.342283
2025-12-21 0.003381 0.008292 0.018764 0.041812 0.089809 0.182696 0.371716
2025-12-28 0.003201 0.008184 0.019191 0.044209 0.097871 0.204503 0.426895
2026-01-04 0.002970 0.007914 0.019228 0.045779 0.104413 0.224004 0.479517
2026-01-11 0.002568 0.007154 0.018054 0.044521 0.104814 0.231233 0.508314
2026-01-18 0.002275 0.006612 0.017297 0.044092 0.106942 0.242176 0.545729
2026-01-25 0.001969 0.005974 0.016210 0.042730 0.106791 0.248262 0.573484
2026-02-01 0.001721 0.005446 0.015309 0.041678 0.107205 0.255562 0.604487
2026-02-08 0.001552 0.005109 0.014842 0.041638 0.109991 0.268342 0.648668
2026-02-15 0.001359 0.004658 0.014002 0.040515 0.109996 0.274802 0.679228
2026-02-22 0.001301 0.004614 0.014268 0.042351 0.117595 0.299554 0.753988
2026-03-01 0.001183 0.004355 0.013888 0.042380 0.120580 0.313681 0.805169